Friday, February 20, 2026

Kalshi Wins Tennessee Court Battle: CFTC’s Authority Over Prediction Markets Upheld

A Tennessee judge has temporarily blocked the state's attempt to regulate Kalshi's sports event contracts, siding with the CFTC's jurisdiction and setting a...

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Kalshi Wins Tennessee Court Battle: CFTC’s Authority Over Prediction Markets Upheld

Tennessee Court Sides with Kalshi, Halting State’s Crackdown

In a significant win for prediction markets, a Tennessee judge has granted Kalshi a preliminary injunction, temporarily preventing the state from enforcing its gambling laws against the platform’s sports event contracts. This ruling, handed down by Judge Aleta Trauger, is a crucial development in the ongoing legal battle surrounding the regulation of prediction markets and the jurisdictional boundaries between federal and state authorities.

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The Core of the Dispute: Gambling vs. Commodities

The crux of the matter lies in whether Kalshi‘s sports event contracts fall under the purview of state gambling laws or federal commodities law, which grants exclusive jurisdiction to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Judge Trauger sided with Kalshi, determining that its contracts are likely “swaps” under the Commodity Exchange Act. This means the CFTC, not Tennessee, holds primary regulatory authority.

Implications for Kalshi and the Prediction Market Landscape

This preliminary injunction allows Kalshi to continue offering its sports-related contracts within Tennessee while the lawsuit proceeds. The decision is a significant relief for the platform, which has faced similar challenges in other states. The court also ordered Kalshi to post a $500,000 bond. The long-term implications are far-reaching, potentially setting a precedent that could influence how other states regulate event markets.

The CFTC‘s Steadfast Position

The CFTC has actively defended its position on prediction markets. In a recent video message, CFTC Chair Michael Selig reiterated the agency’s “exclusive jurisdiction” and vowed to challenge state attempts to undermine federal oversight. This stance is further solidified by the recent court decision, signaling a strong commitment to regulating these derivatives markets.

A Broader Conflict: States vs. Federal Oversight

The Tennessee case is not an isolated incident. Kalshi has faced regulatory scrutiny in several other states, highlighting the broader conflict between state gambling laws and the CFTC‘s evolving stance. Courts in different jurisdictions have reached varying conclusions, making the Tennessee ruling particularly noteworthy.

What’s Next for Kalshi?

With the injunction in place, Kalshi can continue its operations in Tennessee, pending the final outcome of the lawsuit. The decision underscores the importance of regulatory clarity and the potential impact of the CFTC‘s jurisdictional claims on the prediction market space. This case will undoubtedly be watched closely by other prediction market platforms and those interested in the future of financial derivatives.

Preliminary injunction, Kalshi. Source: CourtListener
Preliminary injunction, Kalshi. Source: CourtListener
James Reynolds
James Reynolds
James Reynolds is a legal analyst focusing on regulatory news and compliance within the cryptocurrency industry. His comprehensive coverage of legal developments helps businesses and investors navigate the evolving regulatory landscape.

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