Tuesday, July 1, 2025

Bitcoin Stumbles Despite Positive US CPI Data: Is $100,000 Next?

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Bitcoin Stumbles Despite Positive US CPI Data: Is 0,000 Next?

Bitcoin Loses Steam Despite Favorable Inflation Report

Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a second consecutive sell-off at the May 13 Wall Street open, defying positive US inflation data. While the April US Consumer Price Index (CPI) came in below expectations, a bullish signal for risk assets, BTC/USD failed to recapture $104,000 as support and continued its descent.

US CPI 12-month % change. Source: BLS
US CPI 12-month % change. Source: BLS

The CPI data revealed a 2.3% increase in the all-items index for the 12 months ending April, marking the smallest 12-month gain since February 2021. Despite this positive news, Bitcoin‘s price remained subdued, suggesting a cautious market sentiment.

Traders Await Bitcoin‘s Next Move

While traditional markets saw gains, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite Index up 0.7% and 1.4% respectively, Bitcoin’s price action remained volatile. Crypto analysts and traders expressed varied opinions on the short-term direction of BTC/USD.

S&P 500 1-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
S&P 500 1-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Daan Crypto Trades, a popular trader, observed the absence of significant liquidity levels near the spot price, suggesting a potential period of range-bound trading before a new directional trend emerges. “The market ranges a bit and figures out what it wants to do,” he said, emphasizing the need for patience while Bitcoin consolidates.

Michaël van de Poppe, a well-known crypto analyst, remained optimistic, suggesting that even if Bitcoin retreats further to $97.5-$98,000, it would still be within an uptrend and could potentially reach new all-time highs.

BTC/USDT 6-hour chart with RSI data. Source: Michaël van de Poppe/X
BTC/USDT 6-hour chart with RSI data. Source: Michaël van de Poppe/X

Binance CEO Highlights Bitcoin‘s Momentum

Richard Teng, CEO of Binance, emphasized Bitcoin‘s growing strength against traditional assets. He highlighted that Bitcoin has outperformed gold, the S&P 500, and the Nasdaq year-to-date, indicating its resilience and attractiveness as an alternative investment.

“While traditional markets recover, Bitcoin’s already leading the pack,” Teng tweeted, “The momentum is undeniable.”

Teng’s statement reflects a broader sentiment among some crypto proponents who view Bitcoin‘s performance as a testament to its growing role as a global asset, particularly in times of economic uncertainty.

Bitcoin‘s Uncertain Path Forward

Trading firm QCP Capital, analyzing the macro factors influencing Bitcoin’s price, suggested that the asset remains caught between its “digital gold” and “risk-on proxy” identities. This tension could result in sideways movement in the near term, making it challenging to predict Bitcoin‘s direction.

The current market situation presents a complex and dynamic environment for Bitcoin, with factors like inflation, geopolitical events, and investor sentiment all playing a role. As the market continues to digest the latest economic data and navigate global uncertainties, Bitcoin’s path forward remains unclear, but the recent price action highlights the potential for both upside and downside volatility in the coming weeks.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
BTC liquidation heatmap (screenshot). Source: CoinGlass
BTC liquidation heatmap (screenshot). Source: CoinGlass
Orion Vale
Orion Vale
Orion Vale is a cryptocurrency researcher specializing in altcoins, initial coin offerings (ICOs), and project reviews. His thorough evaluations provide readers with valuable insights into emerging crypto projects.

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