Friday, May 16, 2025

Crypto Market Rallies Above $3 Trillion: Fed Policy, Trade Deal Boost Sentiment

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Crypto Market Rallies Above  Trillion: Fed Policy, Trade Deal Boost Sentiment

A Surge Fueled by Multiple Factors

The cryptocurrency market has seen a significant surge, with the total market capitalization surpassing $3 trillion for the first time in over eight weeks. This climb, representing a 2.5% increase in the past 24 hours, was fueled by a combination of factors that have reignited investor confidence.

TOTAL crypto market capitalization daily performance chart. Source: Cointelegraph/ TradingView
TOTAL crypto market capitalization daily performance chart. Source: Cointelegraph/ TradingView

Stagflation Fears and Bitcoin‘s Value Proposition

The Federal Reserve’s decision to hold interest rates steady at 4.25%-4.50% has solidified Bitcoin‘s appeal as a store of value, particularly in an environment characterized by stagflation fears – a combination of slow economic growth and persistent inflation.

Experts have noted that the Fed’s hesitation to cut rates, despite recognizing both higher inflation and higher unemployment, signifies a growing concern about stagflation. This environment elevates Bitcoin‘s status as a hedge against inflation, mirroring its surge during the 2020 monetary easing period.

“The Fed is worried about stagflation,” Zach Pandl, head of research at Grayscale, observed on X. “We think that outcome would be good for Bitcoin.”

Crypto Fear and Greed Index. Source: Alternative.me
Crypto Fear and Greed Index. Source: Alternative.me

US-UK Trade Deal Instills Market Optimism

Reports of a pending trade agreement between the US and UK, announced by President Trump on May 8, have injected a wave of optimism into the markets. A finalized deal would signify a de-escalation of global trade tensions, fostering a more positive outlook across various asset classes, including cryptocurrencies.

Crypto market performance May 8. Source: Coin360
Crypto market performance May 8. Source: Coin360

Technical Rebound Fuels Momentum

From a technical perspective, the market’s rally represents a rebound from the $2.4 trillion support level. This bounce, culminating in a 30% surge, has propelled the market capitalization above $3 trillion, coinciding with the 200-day simple moving average (SMA).

This positive momentum is reflected in the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI), which has risen from oversold territory at 30 to 68, indicating accelerating bullish sentiment. The market now faces a resistance zone between $3.1 trillion and $3.25 trillion, with a successful breakout signaling sustained upward pressure.

Source: The Kobeissi Letter
Source: The Kobeissi Letter

Disclaimer:

This analysis does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is volatile, and investors are urged to conduct thorough research and manage risk accordingly.

Daniel Hayes
Daniel Hayes
Daniel Hayes is a seasoned cryptocurrency analyst specializing in market trends and trading strategies. With over a decade of experience in financial markets, Daniel provides in-depth analyses and price predictions to guide investors through the complexities of the crypto world.

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